Foreign Affairs The Iran war has become similar to America s disastrous experience in Vietnam

The journal “Foreign Affairs” said on Thursday that the American war on Iran is increasingly resembling the US’ catastrophic experience in Vietnam.
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The journal published an article by political analyst Gideon Rose, in which he explained that “the similarity between the two crises isn’t about geography or ideology but about the strategic structure of the two wars and how American leaders behave under pressure.”
The writer points out that the Trump administration has gone through the five stages of the Johnson administration in Vietnam in just two months, namely intervention, escalation, military stalemate, and then transition to negotiations.
The writer notes that the Trump administration has entered a phase resembling the era of President Nixon, as it is seeking an exit that saves face from a costly war that failed to achieve its decisive political objectives.
He touched on the similarities between the two wars, both of which began with operations that failed to achieve their goal, only to later turn into a quagmire and a political and military burden.
The writer expects the war to end with a settlement resembling the 1973 Paris Agreement, which ended direct American intervention in Vietnam; that is, an agreement that stops the fighting and reopens sea trade routes but postpones the substantive issues concerning the future of the Iranian nuclear program and the Iranian regime itself.
He concludes that the Iran experience once again reveals a recurring American pattern: the belief that military superiority can easily achieve major political transformations before wars turn into long attrition conflicts ending in negotiations and withdrawal without achieving the original objectives of the war.